Archive

Normally in world wars, we press labour to either fight or produce the armaments that the war effort will require. Resources are fully engaged. A war on a pandemic is the 'polar' opposite - we fight by 'hibernating' labour, production and services.

The next wave of fiscal stimulus has been unleashed, but will it be enough to build a proverbial bridge to the post Covid-19 promised land.

In a further escalation of the extraordinary policy responses by governments and central banks, the RBA and Government both unleashed further supports to transition businesses through the impacts of COVID-19.

The times require extreme prudence, but with an eye beyond the crisis.

Saudi’s throw a grenade into a bloodbath. In a worrying development for coronavirus-hit financial markets, oil markets are now in crisis.

Astuteness means we're master of the downside risk.  We don't believe everything that's written in the newspaper.  

The spread of coronavirus outside China has rattled equity markets, but what is the impact for the Australian economy?

Fast world, fast money - it's a recipe for some. We prefer compounding money. It's a better route map.

Today marks the final day of the United Kingdom’s official membership of the European Union (EU) and the beginning of a post-Brexit UK. So, what does the year ahead hold for a newly single UK?

As navigators we sniff the financial winds, avoiding the choppy swells.

Inflation hasn’t disappeared, it is well hidden behind a smokescreen of globalisation.

Peak performance is also about coming down the mountain well.

In a speech last night, the governor of the RBA (Philip Lowe) outlined the central banks Quantitative Easing (QE) playbook. This is the first time he has explicitly addressed the RBA’s preferred approach to QE, making it a historic speech for the future of monetary policy in Australia.

High indebtedness means that conventional monetary policy in Australia will not be enough to lift the country out of economic sludge and households will continue to endure a per capita income recession - we term it, a household cashflow recession.

You'd like to know that their road will be easier than yours.

With the sudden uplift in Brexit activity, we have put together a two-minute guide to the current position and the likely outcomes for Brexit.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has lowered the cash rate to 0.75% pa. This is remarkable because only in December of last year the RBA stated that "the Australian economy is performing well" and the "outlook for the labour remains positive".

There are nascent signs of 'green shoots' emerging in the Australian domestic economy. The critical question is whether they can truly take hold and support meaningful, sustained economic growth.

Astuteness means we're masters of the downside risk.

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates by 0.25% to 1.25% in June, ending a 33-month streak of inaction – the longest in RBA history.

Is the recent collapse in the share price of Company ABC a buying opportunity (noise), or symptomatic of underlying change in the company’s prospects (meaning)?

The past 12-months have marked a turning point for global equity markets, as they experienced the first retraction in Price-Earnings (PE) multiples since 2011.

Interest-Bearing Securities, or Bonds, provide a key source of income and portfolio ballast to any asset allocation, an importance that has been highlighted by the market turmoil of 2018.

The listed property (A-REIT) market as a whole experienced a difficult 2018 as the spectre of higher rates early in the year, contracted earnings multiples.

2018 has been a year of recalibration by market participants, after the goldilocks euphoria of 2017 – where all asset classes simultaneously rose.

Since the Global Financial Crisis, global banks have stepped back from lending to corporates as they adapt to the litany of regulatory changes and higher capital requirements.

At the end of a bull market, when the gains have been disproportionately shared between ‘winners’ and ‘losers’, it is not unusual for governments to seek to interfere in an otherwise effectively functioning market.

Quantitative easing and falling interest rates have been universally good for the holders of capital and investors. The reversal of this process is unlikely to be beneficial for investors and holds the potential to unwind the windfalls that investors have received through re-rating.

12-months ago global growth reached a post-recession peak as we experienced synchronised global growth across many different countries.

The Australian economy is expanding, with GDP of 3.4% and unemployment at 5.0%. This growth has supported the increased revenues of the ganders (Commonwealth and State Governments)... but what about the geese (households)?

After nearly a decade of increasingly easy monetary policy, characterised by steadily declining central bank interest rates and quantitative easing – the printing of money to buy long-term bonds with the intent of reducing long-term yields – the major central banks around the world have started to tighten monetary policy. 

Properly diversifying your investment pool not only means diversification at an asset class level but also diversifying individual exposures at the security level.

Retail sales for July were unchanged from June, going against hopes for a rise of 0.3%. Whilst only a monthly statistical read, it joins a number of poor monthly reads. This, combined with a fall of 0.6% in the ANZ Job Ads Survey in August, now indicates a headwind to further falls in the employment rate.

Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Google are unquestionably (tech) powerhouses of our times. There is a lot to like about the FANG business strategies, but do their valuation and future business performance assumptions stack up?

As we approach the 10th anniversary of the current bull market, we take a look at current and historical market conditions to assess how much longer this bull market can last.

The recent equity market gyrations over the last 10 days heralds the end to Goldilocks equity volatility, of which the hallmark has been overly-benign volatility for the last five years.

Lost in the euphoria of the recent Phase I trade deal between the United States and China is the underlying issue that initially led to the trade war; the rising geopolitical and economic power of China, and the corresponding waning influence (and appetite) of the United States. In this instalment of our five-part investment strategy guide preview, we outline why we believe that further conflict between the two nations is inevitable and why it could risk an unwinding of the economic benefits derived from 30 years of globalisation.